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Simulating Boyd’s OODA Loop: Towards an ABM of Human Agency and Sensemaking in Dynamic, Competitive Environments

Authors:
Mark Abdollahian
Chasen Jeffries

Keywords: Agent-Based Modeling (ABM); OODA Loop; Complex Adaptive System; Co-Evolution.

Abstract:
Increasingly complex global scenarios require advanced simulations of human decision-making. Existing models often neglect the nuanced cognitive processes essential in dynamic environments, leading to oversimplified analyses. Leveraging John Boyd's conceptualization of the Observe, Orient, Decide, Act (OODA) loop, we propose a novel, agent-based simulation exploring human agency and sensemaking within evolving competitive landscapes. By endowing agents with diverse cognitive capabilities across the OODA spectrum, we dissect the nuanced impacts of heterogeneous information processing and cognitive strategies on agent fitness and survival. While Boyd emphasized the strategic advantages of swiftly navigating the OODA loop or infiltrating an opponent's loop, we also explore the effects of diverse information processing and cognitive abilities on agent fitness. Central to our initial findings is the critical significance of the Orient and sensemaking phase, which emerges as a decisive factor in surpassing the mere possession of information, collection of data or swift and efficient execution of decisions and actions. We present several scenarios—ranging in complexity and resource availability— that underscore the superiority of deep sensemaking over other cognitive capabilities. Although only an initial step, we believe such approaches can expand both OODA loop's theoretical underpinnings and its practical relevance in enhancing strategic decision-making processes for human, behavioral, social, and cultural phenomena.

Pages: 76 to 84

Copyright: Copyright (c) IARIA, 2024

Publication date: May 26, 2024

Published in: conference

ISSN: 2308-4138

ISBN: 978-1-68558-163-3

Location: Barcelona, Spain

Dates: from May 26, 2024 to May 30, 2024