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Trend Analysis of Regime Change and Social Unrest with Laplace Test Statistic

Authors:
Christian Díaz Cáez
Charles Kim

Keywords: Collaborative Platform; Fragment; Laplace Statistics; Trend Analysis.

Abstract:
This research focuses on the integration of the Laplace trend statistic into a web-based collaborative platform to analyze regime changes and social unrest. The Laplace statistic, known for discerning trends, is applied to unveil any trend of changes and unrest in data sets. The platform accommodates real-time analysis and encourages inter-agency collaboration. The paper details the development of the system, including the mathematical derivation of the Laplace statistic, coding techniques, and application examples. By combining statistical methods with a versatile collaboration tool, the work aims to contribute to the evolving understanding of complex socio-political dynamics, offering a more responsive and robust approach to trend analysis and prediction of such dynamics.

Pages: 1 to 6

Copyright: Copyright (c) IARIA, 2024

Publication date: March 10, 2024

Published in: conference

ISSN: 2308-3913

ISBN: 978-1-68558-140-4

Location: Athens, Greece

Dates: from March 10, 2024 to March 14, 2024