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Methodology of Future Security Studies

Authors:
Jan Valouch
Hana Urbanočoková

Keywords: security futurology; forecasting methodology; security forecast; security situation; futurologists.

Abstract:
The security futurology is the science of the future, which deals with the theory, study and creation of variants of possible developments in the security situation. When creating reliable forecasts, it is necessary to use the scientific methods. Futurologists use a wide range of qualitative and quantitative forecasting methods. This article describes the basic assumptions of the proposal of a new universal prognostic method. An important aspect of the proposal is the efficiency, reliability, speed and the verifiability of method of forecasting of the security situation. An universal prognostic method for the creation of security forecast does not currently exist.

Pages: 69 to 71

Copyright: Copyright (c) IARIA, 2016

Publication date: July 24, 2016

Published in: conference

ISSN: 2162-2116

ISBN: 978-1-61208-493-0

Location: Nice, France

Dates: from July 24, 2016 to July 28, 2016