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Comprehensive System of Intense Convective Precipitation Forecasts for Regional Crisis Management

Authors:
David Saur
Lucia Duricova

Keywords: Flash Floods; Weather Forecast; Thunderstorms; Crisis Management

Abstract:
This paper focuses on the contemporary possibilities of predicting intense convective precipitation and the utilization of this information in Crisis Management procedures of the Zlin Region in the Czech Republic. The first part describes the Information, Notification and Warning System of the Zlin Region, which ensures comprehensive forecasts of convective precipitation. The outputs from the convective precipitation forecast system and the mobile meteorological radar (MMR50) are part of a comprehensive forecast. Both of these predictive tools are analyzed in this paper. The first principles of complex prediction are demonstrated in a case-based study involving the local flash floods that affected the Zlin Region on July 24th, 2015. The main contribution of the paper is unique information on the use of mobile meteorological radar (MMR50) to forecast thunderstorms and flash floods formation in the Zlín Region.

Pages: 111 to 116

Copyright: Copyright (c) IARIA, 2016

Publication date: July 24, 2016

Published in: conference

ISSN: 2162-2116

ISBN: 978-1-61208-493-0

Location: Nice, France

Dates: from July 24, 2016 to July 28, 2016