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A Generic Monte Carlo Simulation Algorithm For The Availability Prediction Of The Devices With Cold Stand-By Units

Authors:
Ekin Kaya
Can Pervane
Haydar Demirhan

Keywords: stand-by; parallel; Monte Carlo simulation; generic; availability; LSLB method.

Abstract:
Simulation is a strong alternative of analytical methods in the area of reliability science. Availability prediction of devices within a defined period by Monte Carlo simulation is an application of the corresponding area. Devices that are connected parallel with their stand-by units are of concern as well. This study gives an outline of a method for generating a generic algorithm that enables the simulation of ā€˜n’ parallel devices. The new method is called LSLB (refers to the two main parameters used in the algorithm) method and the originality may be highlighted in twofold: firstly, it enables the engineer easily generate many scenarios for the stand-by device selection strategy when the operating device breaks down and secondly; it helps to generate a generic, short and comprehensible algorithm for the simulation of several devices. In the present paper, application of the method is exemplified to develop an algorithm for a parallel system in which no device has a priority as a main device and stand-alone operation of each device until a break down is considered as the case. Complete implementation in a MATLAB code is also achieved with 2 x 6 optional scenarios for device assignment strategy regarding to the potential difference in mechanical behavior of the devices.

Pages: 11 to 17

Copyright: Copyright (c) IARIA, 2012

Publication date: November 18, 2012

Published in: conference

ISSN: 2308-4537

ISBN: 978-1-61208-234-9

Location: Lisbon, Portugal

Dates: from November 18, 2012 to November 23, 2012